Global Mobility Demand Forecast

The most comprehensive analysis of the move from transportation to mobility

In the past few years, mobility has morphed from a buzzword to the strategy centrepiece of the heavyweights in the automotive and transport industries.

Manufacturers, but also infrastructure providers, public transport operators (PTOs) and even cities are all redirecting their focus from transport and traffic management to mobility.

Providing a single transport service such as car rental is not good any more. Customers are asking for an end-to-end, smartphone-enabled customer experience that combines all transport modes into a seamless mobility service. Even Uber is now asking to include Transport for London bus and metro data in its app! Travel is moving from operator-centric transportation to user-centric mobility.

We believe that transport stakeholders cannot afford to use the same old mono-mode approaches and forecasts to make their future multi-billion dollar investment decisions.

This is why PTOLEMUS wrote this report, the first to take a user-centric view on global mobility demand and quantify the complete land mobility market worldwide!

In doing so, it also evaluates the impact of global mobility demand on the key stakeholders‘. For example, will ride hailing kill the taxi industry or will e-scooters replace ride hailing?

The tour de force of this research comes from its ability to synthesise and quantify the combined impact of 12 simultaneous trends on 18 transport modes and 16 different categories of mobility stakeholders, from cities to automotive OEMs. 

The first quantified analysis of global mobility demand via 18 transport modes worldwide

In this completely new report, you will find:

• A thorough analysis of the 12 key trends impacting mobility markets
• A deep analysis of the effect of these trends on key stakeholders for each transport mode
• A bottom-up forecast of the demand to 2030 by transport mode: for example, how many car sharing users in 2021 in Japan?

Over 500 pages, the report measures the combined impact of 12 key trends on the mobility ecosystem.For example:

• What will be the impact of electrification and automation on the transport mix?
• Will shared mobility replace car ownership?
• Who will control MaaS (Mobility as a Service) platforms?
• How positive / negative will new mobility trends be for parking operators?

The report leverages 10 years of experience in strategy consulting in the mobility domain and is based on:

• Over 40 interviews with OEMs, cities, mobility service providers, infrastructure providers and big data service providers,
• Research by a team of 8 American, European and Asian consultants and analysts,
• Insights from 120 consulting assignments on mobility markets, technology and strategy.

You will gain from:

• The combined impact of 12 trends on 16 stakeholder categories,
• A qualitative and quantitative analysis of the external trendsaffecting the mobility market,
• For each of these markets, an analysis of
  • the driving factors,
  • the triggers and inhibitors,
  • the value chain.
• + 18 real world case studies demonstrating best practices in each mobility market,
• Strategic guidelines to fully leverage new mobility trends.

Unique: the global mobility demand forecast from 2018 to 2025

In the 500-page pdf report, you will find:

• Global volume projections in million passenger/km segmented over 18 countries/ regions,
• 17 transport modes forecast with their split and cross impacts,
• Forecast of the impact of EV and battery technology on mobility,
• Forecast  of the volume of private cars sold with autonomous function broken down by automation level and region,

In the separate Excel forecast output sheet, you will find:

• Forecast to 2030 for 11 land transport modes and 18 countries
• Estimates of the autonomous vehicle market (volumes and revenues),
• Volume forecast of the electric car market (5 key markets).

Transport modes covered include:

• Passenger cars (Own vehicles for personal use, car sharing, ride hailing, car pooling, car rental, taxi)
• Coaches, buses & trams (incl. sub-categories)
• Rail
• Two-wheelers (incl. sub-categories such as electric moped )
• Bicycles (electric and traditional bicycles)
• New vehicles (e-scooters, velomobile, hoverboards, motorised skateboards … etc.)