Electronic Tolling Europe Study 2023 (old)

Electronic Tolling Europe Study 2023 (old)


PTOLEMUS' latest study finds that the Electronic Tolling market will grow to €85 billion by 2032

The most comprehensive report on electronic tolling in Europe

Since the publication of the 3rd edition of our Electronic Tolling Global Study, the European toll collection landscape has changed radically, as a few examples show:

  • The long awaited EETS and Eurovignette directives have been adopted, which will make the EU the most sophisticated road charging market in the world;
  • Poland and Bulgaria launched their satellite tolling schemes for trucks;
  • Germany just decided to implement CO2 emission surcharges and to double its truck toll;
  • Denmark decided to launch a GNSS-based RUC system by 2025;
  • Stockholm announced a ban on ICE vehicles in the city centre from 2025;
  • Lithuania tendered a smartphone-based RUC system for Heavy Goods Vehicles;
  • Milan announced that it will ban cars from the city centre in 2024;
  • Slovakia selected the supplier for its new ETC back office platform;
  • London expanded its Ultra Low Emission Zone (ULEZ) to cover all boroughs;
  • In France, several concessionaires announced a transition towards Multi-Lane Free Flow (MLFF).

In this report, PTOLEMUS investigates the current state of the tolling market in 28 countries and predicts its future evolution until 2032.

Based on this bottom-up analysis of the 28 countries, PTOLEMUS forecasts that the ETC market will count 120 million subscribers in 2032.

During the 10-year period, tolling will bring a cumulative €750 billion market to governments and concessionaires, 80% of which will be derived from electronic tolling.

The report is a 550-page analysis of the European road charging landscape based on: 

  • 12 years of constant market surveillance
  • Over 30 interviews with key stakeholders
  • 8 months of market research, analysis, modeling & forecasting by a team of 8 consultants
  • Leveraging the expertise gained by PTOLEMUS thanks to 52 strategy consulting assignments in ETC

The most comprehensive study on the electronic tolling market in Europe ever written, it includes:

  • An in-depth qualitative & quantitative assessment of 27 countries:
  • Austria
  • Belgium
  • Bosnia and Herzegovina
  • Bulgaria
  • Croatia
  • Czech Republic
  • Denmark
  • Estonia
  • Finland
  • France
  • Germany
  • Greece
  • Hungary
  • Ireland
  • Italy
  • Latvia
  • Lithuania
  • Netherlands
  • Norway
  • Poland
  • Portugal
  • Serbia
  • Slovakia
  • Slovenia
  • Spain
  • Sweden
  • Switzerland
  • United Kingdom
  • A detailed analysis of the most relevant regulations and their impact on the European tolling market including:
    • The move towards ETC services interoperability in Europe (EETS)
    • The implementation of cross-border enforcement (CBE)
    • The new framework to apply environmental charging, i.e. the taxation on CO2 emissions as well as air and noise pollution
    • The new rules to implement congestion charging (CC) in urban areas
    • The detailed roadmap of implementation of the different provisions between 2023 and 2032
    • The unexpected impacts of GDPR rules on the tolling business
  • A comparative assessment of tolling technologies authorised in Europe:
    • Deployment models and impacting trends for ANPR, DSRC and GNSS
    • Potential future for CV2X
    • Status of their standardisation at CEN, ISO and ETSI
    • Applicability to road charging and enforcement and comparative level of efficiency
    • Assessment of emerging On-Board Unit (OBU) models including fleet telematics devices, smartphone apps, and connected vehicle payments
  • An evaluation of road pricing models now authorised in the EU: 
    • Time-based charging e.g. vignettes and e-vignettes
    • Distance-based charging e.g. plaza-based tolling, AET, MLFF, RUC
    • City-level schemes: Access Control (AC) areas, Low Emission Zones (LEZs), Congestion Charging (CC) schemes
  • 2020-2032 electronic tolling roadmaps, by country and vehicle category, including:
    • Forecast technology roadmaps: ANPR, DSRC and GNSS
    • Expected evolution of the toll domain in each country
    • Expected evolution of the field of application of tolling / RUC schemes on the different vehicle categories
    • Road charging roadmaps in 28 countries (new schemes, tariff changes, integration of environmental charging, etc.)
  • An in-depth assessment of 27 European markets including:
    • Introduction to the market including legislation and major infrastructure campaigns
    • Forces and models shaping interoperability 
    • Review of current schemes and outlook for future projects
    • Value chain and presentation of major local players
    • Technology roadmap
    • Country profiles for the major tolling domains
  • 2020-2032 bottom-up market forecasts for 28 countries
    • Projections of the tolling and ETC market in Europe: toll revenues, subscription volumes, ETC penetration, key influencing factors
    • An Excel file (650 lines) with subscription volumes by technology and vehicle type, total revenues collected and ETC revenues collected
  • Top-level insights for corporate strategists, finance and M&A executives and investors
    • Current market size and evolution until 2032
    • Granular Excel forecasts (650 lines) with subscription volumes by technology and vehicle type, total revenues collected and ETC revenues collected
    • Scenarios of evolution for the future of tolling in Europe
    • PTOLEMUS' conclusions on road infrastructure funding, the impact of regulation, the move towards RUC and the emergence of urban tolling
    • PTOLEMUS' recommendations for governments and transport ministries, road concessionaires, toll solution providers and toll services providers

To obtain a license to the study and its forecasts, please register your interest by filling the form below to receive your copy of the report's abstract.

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