Connected Mobility Global Forecast

PTOLEMUS is the leading consulting firm in the world of geo-connected mobility. Until now, our research has focused on the usage based insurance and electronic tolling markets as two mobility applications particularly primed for growth. Today, we take a step up and analyse the car-centric mobility services market as a whole.

We are delighted to announce the launch of the Connected Mobility Global Forecast 2016. 

This unique forecast provides a thorough quantitative and qualitative analysis of 14 car-centric mobility services. It includes an estimation of the total addressable market for each, as well as volumes and revenues to 2020. The 14 Connected Mobility Services are: Car sharing, Car pooling, Vehicle rental, Connected Navigation, In-vehicle Wi-Fi hotspot, Stolen vehicle tracking, Emergency assistance (eCall), Usage Based Insurance, Remote diagnostics, Connected breakdown assistance (bCall), Vehicle leasing, Road User Charging, Fuel payment services and Fleet management

The 14 car-centric connected mobility services:

 

For the first time, the entire connected car service market is accounted for.

The Connected Mobility Global Forecast 2016 is a quantitative and qualitative analysis of 14 car-centric mobility services worldwide, split according to 18 geographical markets across 5 regions. In the report’s main document you will find:

  • 18 original graphs encapsulating the essence of the mobility market evolution
  • 57 quantitative analysis graph describing each of the 14 markets
  • Separate analysis of the total addressable market (TAM) size in volume and revenue for each of the 14 car-centric mobility applications

The TAMs are calculated from the perspective of the connectivity service provider (CSP*) and from the perspective of the final service provider to the end user, defined as the mobility service provider (MSP*).

14 dedicated comparative analyses assessing:

  • Delivery, service and business models
  • Value chains and key players
  • Regulatory and competitive environment
  • Connectivity penetration per region
  • Key volume and revenue drivers
  • Current and future market trends
  • Global forecast to 2020 of the volumes and revenues per geographical market

In addition, the Connected Mobility Global Forecast 2016 is provided with the underlying data sheet. The Excel document gives you the output of the 14 forecasts for 18 geographical markets.

The 4,200 line workbook includes (for each of the 14 services):

  • The total addressable market in volume and value seen from the mobility service provider (MSP) and the connectivity service providers (CSP) perspective
  • The total underlying volumes and revenues per country
  • The volume and revenue forecasts for the MSP and for the CSP
  • The split between OEM and Aftermarket volumes and revenues

 

Forecast highlights

PTOLEMUS estimates that by 2020: Connected mobility services will equip 650 million cars (400 million out of these in the aftermarket) and generate $350 billion in revenues by 2020

The Connected Mobility Forecast 2016 is the first report to analyse and quantify the volumes and revenues of 14 car services markets and their associated connected car services globally.

The report highlights how connectivity is transforming the century-old automotive industry focused on manufacturing a product into a fast moving, services-centric industry. The shift is best illustrated by the growth of Uber’s market capitalisation ($62 billion), which, in the space of 7 years, has become significantly larger than industry veteran GM’s ($48 billion).

Car manufacturers are catching up fast, acquiring or investing globally in car sharing, pooling and leasing. The Connected Mobility Forecast concludes that revenues from these 3 services will grow as much as tenfold over the next 5 years.

As the nature of car usage, ownership and provision changes under the influence of population growth, traffic and connectivity, global car sales are expected to stagnate and most of the growth will come from mobility services. The Connected Mobility Forecast sets out to identify the real potential revenue opportunities, the key distribution models and who in the ecosystem is best placed to take advantage.

The 14 connected mobility markets are: car sharing, car pooling, car rental, navigation, in-vehicle Wi-Fi hotspot, stolen vehicle tracking & recovery (SVT, SVR), emergency assistance (eCall / automatic crash notification), usage-based insurance (UBI), remote diagnostics, connected breakdown assistance (bCall), car leasing, road user charging (RUC) / electronic tolling, fuel card services and telematics fleet management services.

Findings and presentation:

The Connected Mobility Global Forecast 226-page report includes:

An analysis of the Total Addressable Market (TAM) volume and revenue for each service, provided from the perspective of the service provider to the end user, defined as the Mobility Service Provider (MSP) and its supplier, the Connectivity Service Provider (CSP).

A comparative examination of each market assessing:

  • Business models, value chains and key players
  • Regulatory and competitive environment
  • Connectivity penetration by region
  • Key volume and revenue drivers
  • Current and future market trends
  • Global forecast to 2020 of the volumes and revenues per region

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